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☆ Inflation data keeps rate cut likelihood alive, says Nationwide Mutual’s Kathy Bostjancic
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation data keeps rate cut likelihood alive, says Nationwide Mutual’s Kathy BostjancicMain Street’s James Demmert and Nationwide Mutual’s Kathy Bostjancic join 'Power Lunch' to discuss what today's CPI report and what it means for the market and Fed's next move.

Persons: Kathy Bostjancic, James Demmert Organizations: Nationwide

☆ Watch CNBC’s full interview with Main Street’s James Demmert and Nationwide Mutual’s Kathy Bostjancic
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Main Street’s James Demmert and Nationwide Mutual’s Kathy BostjancicMain Street’s James Demmert and Nationwide Mutual’s Kathy Bostjancic join 'Power Lunch' to discuss what today's CPI report and what it means for the market and Fed's next move.

Persons: James Demmert, Kathy Bostjancic Organizations: Nationwide

☆ Presidential election or not, economists say, the Fed will cut interest rates in the fall if it must
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-17 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Fed officials have said they will begin to cut rates whenever they have “gained enough confidence” that inflation is under control. The Bank of Japan announces its latest interest rate decision. The Reserve Bank of Australia announces its latest interest rate decision. The Federal Reserve announces its latest interest rate decision and releases a fresh set of economic projections, followed by a news conference featuring Chair Jerome Powell. The Bank of England announces its latest interest rate decision.

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☆ Boeing’s problems could soon become your problem
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Washington CNN —Boeing’s problems aren’t just Boeing’s. One of America’s biggest manufacturers is dealing with some serious production, quality and safety problems that worsened this week after a 787 Dreamliner plunged suddenly mid-flight, injuring dozens of passengers. Southwest and United earlier this week said they expect Boeing to ship them fewer planes than they planned on receiving, so they’ll hire fewer pilots. (Boeing continued to build the 737 Max throughout the crisis). And Boeing’s years of problems have led to success for its French rival Airbus, which has overtaken Boeing as the world’s largest aircraft manufacturer.

Persons: Washington CNN —, aren’t, ” Kathy Bostjancic, “, ”, ” José Torres, Max, ” Lisa Simon Organizations: Washington CNN, America’s, Boeing, Airbus, Alaska Airlines, Nationwide, CNN, Interactive Brokers, New York Fed, The New, Fed, Boeing hasn’t, Federal Aviation Administration, Revelio Labs Locations: Southwest, ”

☆ Expect three rate cuts this year, says Nationwide's Kathy Bostjancic
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect three rate cuts this year, says Nationwide's Kathy BostjancicKathy Bostjancic, Nationwide Mutual chief economist, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss what recent inflation data could mean for future rate decisions, challenges in battling U.S. inflation, and more.

Persons: Kathy Bostjancic Kathy Bostjancic Organizations: Nationwide Mutual

☆ Markets pricing in interest rate cuts for March is premature, says Nationwide's Kathy Bostjancic
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets pricing in interest rate cuts for March is premature, says Nationwide's Kathy BostjancicKathy Bostjancic, Nationwide chief economist, and CNBC’s Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss the interest rate outlook for 2024, the state of the labor market, and more.

Persons: Kathy Bostjancic Kathy Bostjancic, Steve Liesman Organizations: Nationwide

☆ US retail sales fell in October for the first time in seven months
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Washington, DC CNN —Americans cut their retail spending in October for the first time since March, with interest rates at a 22-year high. Retail sales, which are adjusted for seasonality but not inflation, fell 0.1% in October from the prior month, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday. October’s decline in retail spending is potentially an early sign of a slowing economy as US consumers get squeezed by higher borrowing costs and they continue to rack up credit card debt. Car sales fell 1.1% in October from September, while furniture sales declined 2% during the same period. Wednesday’s retail sales report bodes well for the Fed, since it shows spending isn’t reaccelerating or remaining stubbornly strong.

Persons: Jerome Powell, ”, Kathy Bostjancic, Austan Goolsbee, market’s, ” Goolsbee Organizations: DC CNN, Commerce Department, Federal, Nationwide, Reserve, of Labor Statistics, Chicago Fed, Detroit Economic Locations: Washington

Prices of futures contracts that settle to the Fed's target rate were pricing in only about a 5% chance the Fed will raise its policy rate any higher than the current 5.25% to 5.50% range. Core inflation, which excludes energy and food, rose 4%, the slowest pace in more than two years. "You can say goodbye to the rate hiking era," said Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management. The Fed is now seen as more likely than not to deliver its first rate cut in May, and end 2024 with the short-term benchmark rate a full percentage point lower than today, based on rate futures pricing. "The Fed for now will maintain its tightening bias, erring on the side of caution," she wrote.

Persons: Brian Jacobsen, Jerome Powell, aren't, Kathy Bostjancic, Ann Saphir, Lucia Mutikani, Chuck Mikolajczak, Chizu Nomiyama, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Energy, Traders, Annex Wealth Management, Nationwide, Thomson Locations: U.S

That changed in September when U.S. central bank officials themselves sensed that progress on housing inflation might have stalled. Data released on Thursday confirmed a jump in shelter prices that, for a month at least, bucked the trend. "The uptick in housing inflation this month was the key surprise. Housing inflation will need to decline sharply over the coming months for us to see inflation near 2%." In the list of risks for inflation to remain elevated, Fed officials in September pointed to "the effects of a strong housing market."

Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Olu Sonola, aren't, Jerome Powell, Kathy Bostjancic, disinflation Powell, Andrew Hunter, CoreLogic, Hunter, Howard Schneider, Paul Simao, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Federal Reserve, Fitch, Fed, Nationwide, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Capital Economics, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S

☆ Core service numbers show inflation is still relatively elevated, says Nationwide's Kathy Bostjancic
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCore service numbers show inflation is still relatively elevated, says Nationwide's Kathy BostjancicKathy Bostjancic, chief economist at Nationwide Mutual, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss inflation remaining high despite high yield helping support the Fed's efforts, the market staying hesitant about pricing in a December rate hike, and bond auction enthusiasm reflecting investor concern about the economy.

Persons: Kathy Bostjancic Kathy Bostjancic, Steve Liesman Organizations: Nationwide Mutual

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Nationwide's Kathy Bostjancic
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Nationwide's Kathy BostjancicKathy Bostjancic, chief economist at Nationwide Mutual, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss inflation remaining high despite high yield helping support the Fed's efforts, the market staying hesitant about pricing in a December rate hike, and bond auction enthusiasm reflecting investor concern about the economy.

Persons: Nationwide's Kathy Bostjancic Kathy Bostjancic, Steve Liesman Organizations: Nationwide Mutual

☆ Bond rout won't end Fed balance sheet cuts, but endgame bubbling into view
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-06 | by ( Michael S. Derby | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Since June 2022, the Fed has allowed more than $1 trillion of bonds to mature from its portfolio, including roughly $840 billion of Treasuries. QT drains liquidity from the banking system, reducing bank reserves parked at the Fed and cash stashed in its reverse repo facility. Others believe money market rates will start to move up in ways suggesting the system is short of cash. A New York Fed report in April projected an end to QT around the middle of 2025. A survey of major banks by the New York Fed released in August eyed an end to QT in mid-2024.

Persons: it's, ”, Kathy Bostjancic, Bostjancic, Goldman Sachs, Loretta Mester, “, Austan Goolsbee, Mary Daly, Michael Barr, Michael Cloherty, Mark Cabana, ” Cabana, Cabana, Michael S, Ann Saphir, Dan Burns, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Goldman Sachs, Federal Reserve, Silicon Valley Bank, Fed, Treasury, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Cleveland Fed, Bloomberg, Chicago Fed, San Francisco Fed, UBS, Bank Policy Institute, New York Fed, Bank of America, Daily, Derby, Thomson Locations: Silicon, Washington

☆ US job growth sizzles; wage inflation cooling
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-06 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

The report followed news this week that job openings jumped in August and first-time applications for unemployment benefits remained low in September. "Moreover, it underscores that they will be in no hurry to cut rates - higher rates for longer." The economy needs to create roughly 100,000 per month to keep up with growth in the working-age population. Monthly wage growth also remained moderate, with average hourly earnings rising 0.2% after a similar gain in August. But as fewer people quit their jobs in search of greener pastures, wage growth could moderate, though recent hefty union contracts pose a risk.

Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Kathy Bostjancic, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Financial, Treasury, Nationwide, Reuters, United Auto Workers, UAW, General Motors, Ford Motor, Chrysler, Manufacturing, Labor, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, WASHINGTON, payrolls, Washington .

What they likely won't be changing: Keeping one more rate hike on the table. Given that rosier picture, Luzzetti - like most analysts polled by Reuters - says Fed policymakers probably won't lift the policy rate any further. Many other economists also expect Fed policymakers to signal fewer rate cuts next year. That's only a touch higher than the 3.2% rate the Fed had expected to see at the end of this year. Reuters GraphicsIf progress towards the Fed's 2% goal slows next year though, as many economists forecast, that may mean fewer interest rate cuts next year.

Persons: Sarah Silbiger, won't, Matthew Luzzetti, Luzzetti, Tim Duy, Duy, That's, Loretta Mester, Kathy Bostjancic, Ann Saphir, Dan Burns, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Deutsche Bank, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Reuters, U.S, Fed, Cleveland Fed, Thomson Locations: Washington ,, U.S, China

Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a press conference following a closed two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy in Washington, U.S., July 26, 2023. Other parts of the Labor Department report were less encouraging for Fed policymakers counting on a labor market softening to put more downward pressure on inflation. Traders of contracts tied to the Fed's policy rate now see less than a 30% chance of another rate hike by the end of this year, down from about a 35% chance before Friday's jobs report. "I think overall this still does point to a labor market that is slowly but steadily heading toward a soft landing," said Daniel Zhao, lead economist at Glassdoor. There are several more key data releases that will shape Fed policymakers' views before the next policy meeting in September.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Elizabeth Frantz, Raphael Bostic, Austan Goolsbee, Daniel Zhao, Kathy Bostjancic, Ann Saphir, Tim Ahmann, Lucia Mutikani, Jason Neely, Kevin Liffey, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal, Committee, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Bloomberg Television, Labor Department, Chicago Fed, Nationwide, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S

☆ Incoming economic data continues to point to resilience, says Nationwide's Kathy Bostjancic
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIncoming economic data continues to point to resilience, says Nationwide's Kathy BostjancicKathy Bostjancic, chief economist at Nationwide Mutual, along with CNBC's Steve Liesman, join 'The Exchange' to discuss banks tightening lending standards, incoming economic data suggesting a resilient market, and recession in the manufacturing sector while services side stays strong.

Persons: Kathy Bostjancic Kathy Bostjancic, Steve Liesman Organizations: Nationwide Mutual

☆ The Fed’s favorite inflation measure cooled down even further in June
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

When stripping out energy and food prices, the core PCE index showed prices increased 4.1% in June from the year before. Economists were expecting the core index to increase 4.2% on an annual basis. In May, the core PCE rose 4.6% annually. The Fed uses the core PCE index as the benchmark for its 2% inflation target. When adjusting for inflation, spending increased 0.4%, driven by a surge in goods-related purchases, specifically of new trucks and recreational products and vehicles, according to the report.

Persons: Kathy Bostjancic, “, it’s, “ It’s, ”, “ They’re, ’, Shannon Seery, Wells, we’re, Seery, ‘ Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Commerce Department, Fed, Nationwide Mutual, CNN Locations: Minneapolis, May’s, Wells Fargo, “

Powell acknowledged as a positive development that inflation has fallen from the highs of last year without serious damage to the economy. "We'll be comfortable cutting rates when we're comfortable cutting rates, and that won't be this year," Powell said. 'MODERATE' GROWTHU.S. Treasury yields slid in choppy trading after the release of the Fed policy statement, while U.S. stocks ended largely unchanged. Futures markets showed little change in bets on the path of Fed rate increases over the remainder of the year, with small odds given to a rise in September. Though Powell said Fed staff had relaxed a prediction of a recession in coming months, outside analysts still think that's what it may take to finish the inflation fight.

Persons: Powell, Jerome Powell, Elizabeth Frantz Powell, what's, Kathy Bostjancic, nodded, Taylor Swift, he's, Veronica Clark, we're, Howard Schneider, Michael S, Safiyah Riddle, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Reuters, U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal, Committee, REUTERS, Treasury, Nationwide, Citi, Derby, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, U.S, Washington , U.S

"We'll be comfortable cutting rates when we're comfortable cutting rates and that won't be this year," Powell said. Yields on both the two- and 10-year Treasury notes moved down modestly from levels right before the release of the Fed's policy statement, while U.S. stocks ended mixed. Futures markets showed bets on the path of Fed rate increases over the remainder of the year were little changed, seeing small odds of a rise in September. "The forward guidance remains unchanged as the committee leaves the door open to further rate hikes if inflation does not continue to trend lower," said Kathy Bostjancic, chief economist at Nationwide. He also noted that Fed staff economists are no longer predicting a recession as they have at recent meetings.

Persons: Powell, Jerome Powell, what's, Kathy Bostjancic, he's, Howard Schneider, Michael S, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Treasury, Nationwide, Fed, Reuters, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, U.S

☆ Many Americans fear a recession as severe as 2008 could be coming. Here’s what experts say
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

To that point, 68% are expecting a recession in the next six months, and 80% of those respondents expect it to be severe. Experts weigh in3 reasons it can be smarter to rent, even if you can buy Yet, predictions from various experts are not as dire. watch nowAt Raymond James, the current forecast calls for a "very, very mild" recession, according to chief economist Eugenio Aleman. Raymond James is predicting a 1.3% growth rate for 2023 and 0.6% for 2024 — which coincides with the firm's forecast for a "very, very mild recession," Aleman said. To cope with high inflation, Nationwide's survey found more than half of respondents are eating out less, with 54%.

Persons: Jamie Grill, We're, Kathy Bostjancic, it's, Raymond James, Eugenio Aleman, Aleman, Nonfarm, —, Gray, Tang Ming Tung, Bostjancic Organizations: Finance, Nationwide, U.S . Department of Labor, ADP, Employers, Challenger, Federal Reserve, Getty, Auto Locations: U.S, American

☆ US consumer price increases slow; underlying inflation sticky
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

But food prices rose 0.2% after being unchanged for two consecutive months as fruits and vegetables, nonalcoholic beverages and other food products became more expensive. While the unemployment rate rose to a seven-month high of 3.7%, that was from a 53-year low of 3.4% in April. The so-called core CPI increased 0.4% in May, rising by the same margin for the third straight month. Beyond May, however, overall core inflation is expected to slow, driven by a moderation in rents and resumption in price declines for used cars and trucks. "We expect a more noticeable deceleration in core prices in the coming months," said Michael Pugliese, a senior economist with Wells Fargo in New York.

Persons: Kathy Bostjancic, Joe Biden, I've, Biden, nonfarm, Michael Pugliese, Wells, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Paul Simao, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Fed, Nationwide, Reuters, Treasury, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, New York, U.S, Ukraine

☆ Americans' household wealth rises by $3 trillion but remains below early 2022 peak
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( Tami Luhby | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

New York CNN —Elevated by a strong stock market, Americans’ household wealth rose to nearly $149 trillion in the first quarter of 2023, new federal data shows. The net worth of households rose by $3 trillion in the early part of this year, according to the Federal Reserve’s quarterly report on US financial accounts. The value of real estate holdings dropped by $0.6 trillion as higher interest rates cooled sales in the first quarter. Though Americans’ net worth has been rising since the third quarter of last year, it has yet to return to its recent high point of nearly $153 trillion in early 2022. Household debt expanded at a 2.2% pace as growth in both mortgages and consumer credit slowed, the Federal Reserve report showed.

Persons: that’s, ”, Kathy Bostjancic, Bostjancic Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Nasdaq, Nationwide, Federal Reserve Locations: New York

☆ Strong US consumer spending, inflation readings put Fed in tough spot
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-26 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

Consumer spending jumped 0.8% last month after gaining 0.1% in March. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, would rise 0.4%. Adjusting for inflation, consumer spending shot up 0.5% after being unchanged in March. Consumer spending is being supported by strong wage gains in a tight labor market. The current pace of consumer spending is, however, unlikely to be sustained as Americans grow weary of inflation.

☆ US single-family homebuilding, permits rise in April
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-17 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Summary Single-family housing starts rise 1.6% in AprilSingle-family building permits increase 3.1%Overall housing starts climb 2.2%; permits fall 1.5%WASHINGTON, May 17 (Reuters) - U.S. single-family homebuilding increased in April, but data for the prior month was revised sharply lower, suggesting that the housing market slump was far from over even as some segments show signs of stabilizing. The rise in single-family housing starts last month reported by the Commerce Department on Wednesday was concentrated in the West, with the rest of the three regions reporting big declines. Single-family housing starts, which account for the bulk of homebuilding, rose 1.6% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 846,000 units last month. Single-family housing starts plunged 28.1% on a year-on-year basis in April. The single-family homebuilding backlog increased 4.5% to 139,000 units, while the completions rate for this segment dropped 6.5% to a rate of 971,000 units.

☆ Wage growth contributes to inflation but it's not the source, says Nationwide's Kathy Bostjancic
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWage growth contributes to inflation but it's not the source, says Nationwide's Kathy BostjancicCNBC's Steve Liesman and Kathy Bostjancic, Nationwide's chief economist, join 'The Exchange' to discuss hawkish comments at the Atlanta Fed financial markets conference, and the Fed proceeding with rate hikes.

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